Friday, September 27, 2013

Bastardization of the Rookie Card, A Year(ish) Later

About a year ago I posted "Bastardization of the Rookie Card," the gist of it was this:

"I present to you a basic analysis of four rookies that debuted in 2011: Eric Hosmer, Brandon Crawford, Jemile Weeks, and Mike Trout.

Hosmer debuted on May 6, 2011. Crawford debuted on May 27, 2011. Weeks debuted on June 7, 2011. Trout debuted on July 8, 2011. 

Which player had the most cards debuted in his RC-year? (RC-year is defined as the year a player's rookie card debuted even if different than the player's debut year).

Did you guess Weeks? You should have. Although Weeks debuted a month after Hosmer and a month before Trout, Weeks' Rookie Card wasn't released until 2012, and Topps included his Rookie Card in their Bowman, Series Two, Allen and Ginter, Archives, Chrome, Gypsy Queen, Heritage, and Mini sets, and there were at least 127 different Jemile Weeks baseball cards produced by Topps in 2012 (includes inserts, parallels, etc.).

Trout, who you might have heard about, had 33 cards produced in his RC-year, and was included in only three sets: Bowman, Finest, and Topps Update. I guess Topps thought the market for Weeks rookie cards would be a bit more lucrative than Trout rookie cards.
Hosmer and Crawford debuted exactly three weeks apart, yet Hosmer had 66 different cards in his RC-year while Crawford had only 14, the least of all four players."

How did those guys do this year - was Topps' RC print run prescient of future greatness? In order of least number of cards printed to most:

  • Crawford: .252 BA // .681 OPS // 2.5 WAR
  • Trout: .324 BA // .987 OPS // 9.1 WAR
  • Hosmer: .319 BA // .802 OPS // 3.6 WAR
  • Weeks:  .275 BA // .745 OPS //  WAR N/A*
Weeks had 4 at-bats for the A's in 2013. The stats shown are his 2013 AAA stats.

Good try, Topps. :-(

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