Sunday, September 22, 2013

The Neshek Anomaly



One of these things is not like the other...


# Available# SoldLow (Current)High (Sold)
#64 - Brian Wilson184$0.50 $1.73
#376 - Steve Cishek144$0.48 $1.01
#344 - Andrew Bailey144$0.48 $0.87
#227 - Jason Motte133$0.48 $0.83
#393 - Pat Neshek019N/A $1.50

These are current sales stats from COMC.com for five relief pitchers in the 2013 Topps Heritage Main Set. 

Neshek is only in this one 2013 Topps set (after being neglected in 2012). So, you say, there is unusually high demand because of this neglect. No, that doesn't hold, because look at these stats:

# Available# SoldLow (Current)High (Sold)
#US204 - Brian Wilson311$1.01 $1.55
#US135 - Grant Balfour1312$0.45 $1.55
#US113 - Chris Perez263$0.45 $0.64
#US208 - Javier Lopez1110$0.45 $1.78
#US212 - Pat Neshek117$1.00 $2.24
These are current sales stats from COMC.com for five relief pitchers in the 2011 Topps Update Main Set, the last set Neshek was in before 2013 Topps Heritage. 

A popular player with high demand that isn't being addressed by the card manufacturers - this is the "Neshek Anomaly." Neshek has a huge draw because of his generous autograph policy, so his cards are much more valuable on the secondary market than are the cards of other relievers (even those with more publicity than Neshek).

His cards have a draw to a niche market that is attuned to the hobby. So why don't Topps (and Panini!) create more Neshek cards? 

I would guess that Topps/Panini don't see him as a strong 'value-added' player - but that is a terrible presumption because he is an incredibly strong value-added player to any given set. 

The Neshek Anomaly is alive and well. Expect more on it. 

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